Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002510 0.002663 0.002827 0.003017 0.003232 0.003471 0.003758
2025-04-20 0.002191 0.002383 0.002599 0.002863 0.003183 0.003565 0.004067
2025-04-27 0.002047 0.002270 0.002532 0.002867 0.003297 0.003848 0.004640
2025-05-04 0.001973 0.002226 0.002533 0.002943 0.003500 0.004267 0.005488
2025-05-11 0.001882 0.002149 0.002482 0.002942 0.003593 0.004545 0.006208
2025-05-18 0.001841 0.002130 0.002499 0.003027 0.003814 0.005049 0.007481
2025-05-25 0.001769 0.002063 0.002445 0.003007 0.003871 0.005303 0.008404
2025-06-01 0.001692 0.001986 0.002372 0.002949 0.003862 0.005437 0.009138
2025-06-08 0.001666 0.001972 0.002383 0.003014 0.004054 0.005977 0.011216
2025-06-15 0.001634 0.001949 0.002379 0.003054 0.004210 0.006490 0.013771
2025-06-22 0.001580 0.001893 0.002324 0.003010 0.004210 0.006676 0.015462
2025-06-29 0.001526 0.001834 0.002260 0.002947 0.004168 0.006757 0.016879
2025-07-06 0.001480 0.001786 0.002215 0.002915 0.004189 0.007020 0.019910
2025-07-13 0.001402 0.001691 0.002096 0.002755 0.003951 0.006596 0.018406
2025-07-20 0.001371 0.001662 0.002073 0.002753 0.004021 0.006977 0.023122
2025-07-27 0.001361 0.001661 0.002091 0.002821 0.004239 0.007850 0.038201
2025-08-03 0.001334 0.001635 0.002070 0.002818 0.004311 0.008340 0.059225
2025-08-10 0.001328 0.001638 0.002094 0.002897 0.004572 0.009606 0.403306
2025-08-17 0.001300 0.001609 0.002065 0.002878 0.004609 0.010100 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001266 0.001569 0.002019 0.002825 0.004560 0.010228 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001259 0.001568 0.002034 0.002885 0.004791 0.011770 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001247 0.001560 0.002036 0.002922 0.004975 0.013339 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001220 0.001529 0.002000 0.002881 0.004949 0.013717 NaN